Miami Hurricanes plummeting after loss to Syracuse

If they don’t win three of those last four it would require Miami to win their first game in the ACC Tournament and then upset one of the top four seeds in the quarterfinals.

According to Team Rankings, a team with 22 wins has an 88.5 percent chance to receive an NCAA Tournament bid, a team with 21 has a 64.3 percent chance and 20 wins give a team a 24.3 percent chance.

Miami’s most likely final regular season record heading to Brooklyn in two weeks is 20-10 according to Team Rankings. They have a 44.1 percent chance to finish winning two-thirds of their games this season. The Hurricanes have a 24.9 percent chance to finish 19-11 and a 23.3 percent chance to finish 21-9. That would be 2-2, 1-3 or 3-1 in the final four games.

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Through the Phog

Miami’s most likely outcome in the ACC Tournament is to get to the quarterfinals. They have a 52.06 percent chance to do that. What the Hurricanes have to avoid is slipping to 10th in the conference.

The bottom six teams in the ACC (10-15) have to play on the first day of the Conference Tournament. Teams five through nine get a bye into the second round. The top four teams receive a bye to the quarterfinals.

Before the three-game losing streak, Miami was in a tie for third and held the tiebreaker. Now they are tied with Syracuse for ninth with the Orange holding the tiebreaker.

As it stands now, the Hurricanes would have to play in the first round of the ACC Tournament. They would have to win two games just to get to the quarterfinals.

At the beginning of the season, the Miami Hurricanes were ranked 12th nationally. That was their highest preseason ranking ever.

Next: Miami Hurricanes hurt by Lonnie Walker and Dewan Huell slumps

Jim Larranaga’s roster was touted as the most talented in school history. Now without their most versatile player and team leader Bruce Brown the Hurricanes are going to have to turn it around or miss their first NCAA Tournament in three years.