Miami football versus Alabama point spread and over/under analysis

The Miami football team opens its 2021 season against the defending national champion and top-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide. Miami enters the game against Alabama as a 19.5 point underdog according to WynnBet where you can make your pick here. The over/under for Miami and Alabama is 60.5 points.

Alabama has an over/under of 40.5 points and Miami 20.5. The Miami football team is playing Alabama for the first time since both teams were undefeated and the second-ranked Crimson Tide defeated number one Miami 34-13 in the 1993 Sugar Bowl that was the de facto National Championship Game.

Alabama polished off 13-0 season with a 52-24 annihilation of Ohio State in the College Football National Championship Game in January. The Crimson Tide and Buckeyes played on Miami’s home field at Hard Rock Stadium. The Alabama and Miami football teams will play at Mercedes Benz Stadium in Atlanta.

The Crimson Tide has played five games in the four seasons that Mercedes Benz Stadium has been open. The SEC Championship Game is played at Mercedes Benz Stadium every season. Alabama has played in eight of the last 13 SEC Championship Games, winning seven of those.

Miami enters the 2020 season with 19 returning starters, 10 on offense. The Hurricanes finished 8-3 last season. That was the best season Miami has had since they won the ACC Coastal Division and finished 10-3 in 2017. Miami has similar aspirations in 2021. Alabama always strives to win National Championships.

The Crimson Tide has a Moneyline of -1050 as the prohibitive favorite. Miami is +690 as a significant underdog. National experts primarily seem to be leaning towards Alabama winning and covering the point spread. History tells us Alabama blows out mostly ranked opponents in season openers.

Alabama has played 10 neutral site openers dating back to Nick Saban’s second season in 2008. The Crimson Tide has won all of those games. Alabama opened with a 38-19 victory over Missouri last season in Columbia as a 28.5 point favorite. The over of 56 was barely exceeded. Neutral site games return this season.

No one has a more difficult season opener than Miami. The game should come in with the over. Two high-powered talented offenses will take the field in Atlanta. While history tells us Alabama is unimpressed by their ranked opponents in neutral-site season openers, Miami should just get inside the 19.5 point spread.

Don’t expect the Hurricanes to get a backdoor cover. Miami has talent and experienced taking the field at Mercedes Benz Stadium. The only question for Miami is how well can they play in a big game. Miami was blown out twice in 2020 in marquee games. The Cheez-It loss began with a 21-0 deficit to Oklahoma State.

If Miami comes out with a strong first quarter they should be able to remain competitive throughout the game and cover the point spread. The Hurricanes Crimson Tide are two of the most recognizable brands in college football. Most eyes of college football will be on Atlanta Saturday afternoon.