Miami football Game Saturday: Hurricanes vs Florida State odds and prediction for Week 11 game

Oct 23, 2021; Miami Gardens, Florida, USA; Mandatory Credit: Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports
Oct 23, 2021; Miami Gardens, Florida, USA; Mandatory Credit: Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports /

The Miami football team defeated Georgia Tech on Saturday 33-30 but failed to cover the 10 point spread. That ended a three-game streak of Miami covering the point spread. Miami had a six-game streak against FBS teams failing to cover the spread prior to the three-game streak. Florida State hosts Miami on Saturday.

Miami football Game Saturday: Hurricanes vs Florida State odds and prediction for Week 11 game

Miami travels to 3-6 Florida State with a 5-4 record. The Hurricanes have won the last four games against the Seminoles. Miami set a rivalry record in 2021 for most points in a 52-10 win at Hard Rock Stadium. Florida State is 3-6 this season against the spread. Miami is favored for the sixth time this season on Saturday.

Miami vs Florida State Odds Week 11

The Week 11 betting odds on WynnBET Miami as 2.5-point favorites on the road. The Miami football team has -145 moneyline odds, with Florida State as the underdog at +125. The total for the game is set at an over/under of 61 points.

Miami vs Florida State Prediction Week 11

Miami is coming off another impressive offensive performance. The Hurricanes have had over 400 total yards in four straight games and five of their last six. Miami has scored 30 or more points in four straight games. Florida State is seventh in the ACC in total defense allowing 388.8 yards per game.

Miami offensive coordinator Rhett Lashlee has to be excited about playing FSU. The Hurricanes scorched the Seminoles for 517 yards last season. Miami quarterback D’Eriq King threw for 317 yards and the Hurricanes ran for 200. The Hurricanes have one of the best trios at QB, running back and wide receiver.

Miami QB Tyler Van Dyke has thrown for at least 325 yards in three straight games, the first time a Hurricanes QB has accomplished that since Bernie Kosar in 1984. Jaylan Knighton has 584 total yards and seven touchdowns in the last four games. Charleston Rambo has 23 receptions for 438 yards and three TDs in his last three games.

Florida State has an anemic pass offense, but their run offense can be dangerous with QB Jordan Travis and RB Jashaun Corbin. Corbin is fifth in the ACC in rushing yards per game. The Miami run defense has improved. Miami is currently ranked sixth in the ACC in rushing yards allowed per game.

The Hurricanes were stout against the run versus North Carolina State and Pittsburgh but took a step back on Saturday against Georgia Tech. Miami needs to be able to stop the run against Florida State. The Hurricanes offense should continue to roll at Doak Campbell Stadium. Expect the Hurricanes to win and cover the 2.5 points.

The over/under a is a trickier bet on Saturday. Miami and Georgia Tech pushed on the 63 point over/under in the Hurricanes 33-30 victory. The 61 point over/under for Miami and Florida State would have been exceeded by one point in the 52-10 Hurricanes victory at Hard Rock Stadium in 2020.

Miami is highly unlikely to blowout Florida State on Saturday like they did in 2020. The Hurricanes have been successful defensively against FSU under Manny Diaz. In the last four meetings between Miami and Florida State, the Seminoles are averaging 17.4 points per game. Miami will need to get pressure.

Miami has 14 sacks in the last two seasons against the Seminoles. The Hurricanes have not had the dominant pass rusher they did the last two seasons with Jaelan Phillips and Gregory Rousseau. Zach McCloud leads Miami with 4.5 sacks. No other Hurricane has more than 2.5 sacks.

Next. Miami Florida State gets national broadcast spot. dark

WynnBET Promo: Bet $1, Win $100 if any NFL or college football team scores. Claim offer now.