Miami football versus Texas AM Prediction and Odds for Week 3 college football

Sep 10, 2022; Miami Gardens, Florida, USA; Mandatory Credit: Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports
Sep 10, 2022; Miami Gardens, Florida, USA; Mandatory Credit: Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports /

Texas A&M is a 5.5-point favorite over the Miami football team ahead of their game on Saturday night in College Station per FanDuel. The Aggies lost 17-14 to Appalachian State on Saturday as an 18-point favorite. Miami failed to cover the 25-point spread in a 30-7 victory over Southern Mississippi on Saturday.

Texas A&M failed to cover a 35.5-point spread in its season-opening 31-0 victory over Sam Houston State. Miami covered as a 48-point favorite in their 70-13 win over Bethune-Cookman in week one. In both Texas A&M games this season there were 31 total points scored which were far below the over/under of 54.

Miami exceeded the total of 60.5 by itself versus Bethune-Cookman. The total of 37 points between Miami and Southern Mississippi was far below the over/under of 51. Miami is 16th and Texas A&M 11th in scoring defense through week two. We could see the under come in again with the Aggies and Hurricanes.

Miami has been sluggish at times offensively this season. After an Andres Borregales field goal on the first drive versus Southern Mississippi Miami did not score again until a Henry Parrish touchdown run with 20 seconds remaining in the first half. Texas A&M had 186 yards and seven points on offense versus Appalachian State.

Miami football vs. Texas A&M Odds Week 3

FanDuel has Texas A&M as a 5.5-point favorite over the Miami football team. The total is a low 46.5 for a college football game. Texas A&M has a moneyline of -205. The moneyline for Miami is +172. FanDuel has multiple other betting options, parlays and teasers that provide many different ways to bet Miami at Texas A&M.

Miami football vs. Texas A&M Prediction Week 3

The 5.5-point spread seems high. Even with their anemic offensive performance last week, Texas A&M kept the game close and lost by three. Miami has won both of their games easily but struggled in the first half versus Southern Mississippi. The Parrish TD run pushed Miami in front 10-7 just before halftime.

Miami should cover the 5.5 points and take the under. The Aggies and Hurricanes have both struggled offensively at times this season. Miami and Texas A&M are taking a huge step up in competition after the first two weeks. Texas A&M should be motivated after its loss to Appalachian State.

Next. Metrics favor Miami versus Texas A&M. dark

The two defenses have allowed a combined 37 points through two games. Miami was relatively vanilla offensively in its first two games. Offensive coordinator Josh Gattis will likely be more innovative but conservative versus Texas A&M. Expect a low-scoring, one-score game decided late.