Miami football versus Texas AM week 3 best bets

Sep 10, 2022; Miami Gardens, Florida, USA; Mandatory Credit: Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports
Sep 10, 2022; Miami Gardens, Florida, USA; Mandatory Credit: Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

Number 24 Texas A&M is a 5.5-point favorite over the 13th-ranked Miami football team on Saturday night at Kyle Field per Fan Duel. The ESPN Football Power Index gives Miami a 53.6 percent chance to defeat Texas A&M. Miami is playing its first road game of 2022 and in the Mario Cristobal era.

The Miami football team is 2-0 overall, but 1-1 against the spread this season. Texas A&M is 1-1 and 0-2 against the spread. Miami won 70-13 week one as a 48.5-point favorite over Bethune-Cookman. The Hurricanes defeated 30-7 Southern Mississippi as a 27.5-point favorite last Saturday.

Texas A&M won its opener 31-0 as a 35.5-point favorite over FCS Sam Houston State in its season opener. The Aggies lost 17-14 to Appalachian State as an 18-point favorite last weekend. Miami cleared the 60.5-point total on its own in the season opener. Miami and Southern Miss went under the 51-point total.

The first two 2022 Texas A&M games were significantly under the 54-point total. Miami and Texas have allowed 37 total points combined this season. Miami and Texas A&M struggled offensively last week. Miami did not score a touchdown until 20 left in the first half. Texas A&M’s offense only scored seven points versus Appalachian State.

Best Miami football Bets Week three

Miami at Texas A&M: Odds, Run Line, Total

Run Line:
Miami: +5.5 (-106)
Texas A&M: -5.5 (-114)

Moneyline:
Miami: +176
Texas A&M: -215

Total: 44.5 (Over -106/Under -114)

Miami at Texas A&M: Betting Trends

"-Miami is 7-1 straight up (SU) in their last eight games.-Miami is 5-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last 6 road games.-Texas A&M is 13-2 SU (straight up) in their last 15 home games.-Texas A&M is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.-The total has gone Under in 9 of A&M’s last 13 games as when the Aggies are favored.Courtesy FanDuel"

Miami at Texas A&M betting analysis

Texas A&M is 11th nationally allowing 8.5 points per game. Miami is 16th in scoring defense allowing 10 PPG. With both offenses struggling this season, a best bet for the Aggies and Hurricanes is to play the under. The 44.5-point total is very low for a college football game, but both defenses have been elite early in 2022.

Miami should be able to cover the 5.5 points. The Aggies and Hurricanes should have a low-scoring, tight game. Miami has significantly improved its running game this season. The Hurricanes need to continue to run well in a hostile environment at Kyle Field. Miami also has a huge advantage at quarterback.

Tyler Van Dyke has been consistent as the Miami starting QB. Haynes King had 97 yards passing for Texas A&M last week. The Miami offense has been far more consistent through two games than Texas A&M this season. Miami at Texas A&M is one of two games between ranked teams week three. Auburn is at Penn State.

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