Miami football versus Middle Tennessee State Prediction and Odds for Week 4

Sep 17, 2022; College Station, Texas, USA; Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports
Sep 17, 2022; College Station, Texas, USA; Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

The Miami football team is a 26.5-point favorite over Middle Tennessee State as the Hurricanes finished non-conference play at 3:30 PM on Saturday per odds from FanDuel. Miami has not covered the point spread since a 70-13 win in the season opener versus Bethune-Cookman.

Miami lost 17-9 to Texas A&M as a 5.5-point underdog at Texas A&M. Middle Tennessee State defeated Tennessee State 49-6 as a 19.5 home favorite on Saturday. Miami and Middle Tennessee State are 2-1 entering their Saturday matchup. Middle Tennessee State’s only loss was 44-7 to James Madison.

Middle Tennessee State is 2-1 against the point spread this season. James Madison was a 4.5-point favorite over Middle Tennessee State in the season opener. Middle Tennessee State defeated Colorado State 34-19 as a 13.5-point favorite in week two. The under has come in for two of the three Middle Tennessee State games in 2022.

After Miami reached the over by itself versus Bethune-Cookman, the last two Miami football games have gone under. Miami has been inconsistent offensively the last two weeks. The Hurricanes didn’t score its first touchdown against Southern Mississippi until 20 seconds remaining in the first half.

Miami football versus Middle Tennessee State Odds Week 4

Moneyline: MTSU: (+1280) | MIAMI: (-3500)
Spread: MTSU: +25.5 (-110) | MIAMI: -25.5 (-110)
Total: 52.5 — Over: (-108) | Under: (-112)

Courtesy Fanduel

Middle Tennessee vs Miami Betting Trends

– Middle Tennessee is 6-14 straight up in its last 20 away games.
– The total has hit the under in four of Middle Tennessee’s last six games.
– Miami is 2-6 against the spread (ATS) in its last eight games in September.
– The total has hit the over in seven of Miami’s last nine Week 4 games.
– Miami is only 3-9 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games

Courtesy FanDuel

Miami football versus Middle Tennessee State Prediction Week 4

Miami needed 27 points in the final 30:20 to defeat Southern Mississippi 30-7. The Hurricanes have been held without a touchdown for nearly three of the last four halves. Miami needs more offensive consistency. Until Miami can prove to be more adept offensively take the points and the under versus Middle Tennessee State.

Returning home after the loss at Texas A&M, Miami should feel more comfortable particuarly offensively. The conservative play calling by Miami offensive coordinator Josh Gattis and head coach Mario Cristobal leads to betting the under until the Hurricanes find their footing offensively.

Schedule

Schedule