Whichever team produces better in the red zone on offense could win the Florida State Miami football game on Saturday. Miami is 53rd with converting 86.11 percent of their red zone trips into scores. Florida State is 104th with scores on 76.32 percent of their red zone opportunities. Florida State leads in touchdown percentage.
The Miami football team is 95th nationally converting 55.56 percent of its offensive trips in the red zone into scores. Florida State is 81st nationally averaging 60.53 percent of their red zone trips resulting in TDs. Florida State has 23 TDs in 38 trips into the red zone. Miami has 20 TDs in 31 red zone opportunities.
Miami has an 11 to six edge in red zone field goals. Part of those numbers for Florida State are due to kicker Ryan Fitzgerald who is 7-12 in 2022 field goal attempts. Andres Borregales has been very consistent for Miami making 14 of his 17 field goal attempts. One of those attempts was blocked by Texas A&M.
Borregales is 12-13 inside of 40 yards. Miami needs to convert red zone opportunities into touchdowns. The Miami football team has to avoid turnovers deep in their own end of the field. Twice against Middle Tennesee State and five times versus Duke allowed them to start drives inside their own 30-yard line.
Once each against Middle Tennessee State and Duke the Blue Raiders and Blue Devils started drives in the red zone. Duke had three other drives start inside the Miami 25, or just outside the red zone. The eight turnovers against Duke led Miami offensive coordinator Josh Gattis to call a far more conversation game versus Virginia.
Conservative red zone play calling for Miami led to the Hurricanes kicking three field goals and having one blocked in the red zone against Texas A&M. Miami did not score a touchdown against Texas A&M or Virginia. Florida State has been much more productive overall offensively than Miami in 2022.
The lowest offensive outputs for Florida State this season were a 31-21 loss to Wake Forest and a 19-17 loss to North Carolina State in the first two weeks of October. Miami has scored 24 or fewer points this season five times. Miami scored its season-high versus a Power Five opponent in a 27-24 loss to North Carolina.
The Miami offense will not improve if it cannot consistently score TDs in the red zone. Miami is 45th nationally averaging 423.1 total yards per game. The Hurricanes are 74th averaging 27.4 points per game. Miami needs to correct the inability to convert in the red zone which has been a problem all season.