The Miami football team opened as 19.5 point underdog at number nine Clemson on Saturday with a total of 46.5 according to Fan Duel. Miami covered for the first time this season against an FBS opponent as a 1.5-point underdog at Georgia Tech on Saturday. Clemson won its last three versus Miami by an average of 39.3 points.
Clemson has a 90.7 percent chance to beat Miami according to the ESPN Football Power Index. The Tigers are 5-5 against the spread this season. The total has gone over and under five times each in Clemson games this season. The total has gone under in six of the 10 Miami games this season and over four times.
Clemson has covered the point spread six of the last seven times they have played Miami. Four of the last six times Clemson has played Miami the total has gone over. Clemson has been a huge favorite the last three times they have played the Miami football team. The Tigers won 42-17 as a 14.5-point favorite in 2020.
The total of 59.5 for Miami at Clemson in 2020 just missed. Clemson defeated Miami 38-3 as a 9.5-point favorite with a total of 47.5 in the 2017 ACC Championship Game. Clemson beat Miami 58-0 in 2015 as a seven-point favorite with a total of 54.5 in 2015. Al Golden was fired shortly following that game.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change
Mario Cristobal had a sub .500 record against the point spread at Oregon. There is precedence for Cristobal leading a team that was a significant underdog to an upset win. Oregon won 35-28 at Ohio State as a 14.5-point underdog in 2021. It’s been a long time since Miami won on the road as a double-digit underdog.
Clemson enters this weekend third in the ACC in scoring defense and fifth in offense. Miami is 10th in scoring offense and seventh in defense. Clemson is sixth in total offense and Miami is eighth. In total defense Clemson is fifth in the ACC and Miami i seventh. Miami will need a total team effort to defeat Clemson.