Miami football at Clemson Week 12 odds and predictions

The Miami football team is a 19.5-point underdog at Clemson on Saturday with the total set by Fan Duel at 47.5. Miami covered the point spread for the first time this season versus an FBS opponent as a 1.5-point underdog in a 35-14 win at Georgia Tech on Saturday. Playing Clemson will be the biggest 2022 challenge for Miami.

Clemson is 5-5 this season against the spread. The Tigers have been favored in every game this season. This is the third highest point-spread Clemson has had in 2022 versus a Power Five opponent. Clemson won 41-10 in the season opener versus Georgia Tech as a 24.5 favorite.

As a 21-point favorite at Boston College last month, Clemson won 31-3. Clemson has owned the Miami football team covering the spread six of the last seven times the Hurricanes and Tigers have played. Clemson won its last three versus Miami by an average of 39.3 points dating to 201.

Five of the Clemson games have gone under and five over the total this season. Clemson won 31-16 as a seven-point favorite at Louisville last week with the game having a 52.0 total. Only four Miami games have eclipsed the total this season. Last week was the first time the total was over in a 2022 Miami win.

Matchup
Miami Hurricanes
5-5
Clemson Tigers
9-1
Saturday, November 19
3:30 PM ET
ESPN
Tigers --19.5

Miami football at Clemson Week 12 odds

Moneyline: Miami: +720 Clemson -1200
Spread: Miami: + 19.5 Clemson -19.5
Total: 47.5 Over -115 Under -105

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change

Miami at Clemson betting trends

Miami betting trends

Miami is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami’s last 6 games
Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami-FL’s last 6 games on the road
Miami is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Clemson
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Clemson
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami’s last 6 games when playing Clemson

Clemson betting trends

Clemson is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Clemson is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games
Clemson is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games at home
Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Clemson is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Miami
Clemson is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Clemson’s last 6 games when playing Miami

Courtesy National Football Post

The 19.5 points Miami is getting at Clemson are the most for the Hurricanes since they were an equal underdog in a 44-13 loss to Alabama in the 2021 season opener against the Crimson Tide in Atlanta. Miami has frequently struggled in big games for many years. This is the sixth time this season Clemson is favored by double figures.

Clemson is 2-3 against the spread in their previous five games this season as a double-digit favorite. This is the third time this season Miami is an underdog. The Hurricanes lost straight up and against the spread at Texas A&M and versus Florida State and covered last week and straight up at Georgia Tech.

The 19.5-point spread is a big number. With Miami struggling so much against the spread this season and Clemson at .500 as a double-digit favorite, it’s tough to trust that number. The total is tight. The lean is to bet the under. Miami at Clemson is more likely to be a low-scoring game led by the defenses.