Miami football at Clemson Week 12 best bets

Nov 12, 2022; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Mandatory Credit: Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports
Nov 12, 2022; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Mandatory Credit: Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports /

The Miami football team plays at Clemson as a significant underdog on Saturday. Miami covered the point spread for the first time this season as a 1.5-point underdog in a 35-14 win at Georgia Tech last weekend. The line for Miami at Clemson has come down from the Tigers being a 19.5 favorite to 18.5 as of Friday afternoon.

Miami has not been this big of an underdog since Alabama was favored by 19.5 in the 2021 season opener over the Hurricanes in Atlanta. Clemson has covered the point spread five times this season and the total has gone over five times. In three of the five games Clemson has covered in 2022 the total has been over.

The total for the Miami football team at Clemson is 44.5. Four Miami games this season have gone over. That includes a 70-13 Miami win in the season opener with a total of 60.5. Only two of the six Miami ACC games this season have been over. Three Clemson ACC games have eclipsed the over this season.

The trend is for Miami at Clemson to go under. Miami would have to significantly improve against Clemson after being outscored 138-20 the last three times the teams have played. The Hurricanes’ defense has been wildly inconsistent this season. Miami has held six opponents under 20 points and three have scored 45.

Miami football at Clemson Week 11 best bets

Betting the under is a much safer bet than relying on Miami at Clemson on Saturday. Fan Duel has some intriguing prop bets on players. One of the safest bets on Saturday is on Clemson running back Will Shipley scoring a touchdown. Shipley has reached the end zone in eight of the 10 Clemson games in 2022 with 12 TDs.

Fan lists Shipley at -430 to reach the end zone on Saturday. Jaylan Knighton at +160 is the only Miami player in the top 10 odds to score a TD on Saturday at Memorial Stadium. The Clemson defense is 10th at +250 to score a TD. Clemson backup RB Phil Mafah is the second favorite to reach the end zone at plus 115.

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Miami has its biggest challenge of the season on Saturday at Clemson. The Hurricanes need a consistent performance throughout to be competitive with the Tigers. Winning the turnover margin could be critical. Miami was plus four last week at Georgia Tech. Clemson is the current ACC standard bearer.