National CFB writer projects Miami football 2023 win total

Nov 5, 2022; Miami Gardens, Florida, USA; Miami Hurricanes quarterback Tyler Van Dyke (9) throws the football during the first quarter against the Florida State Seminoles at Hard Rock Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports
Nov 5, 2022; Miami Gardens, Florida, USA; Miami Hurricanes quarterback Tyler Van Dyke (9) throws the football during the first quarter against the Florida State Seminoles at Hard Rock Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports /
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Chip Patterson of CBS Sports picked the “2023 ACC win totals, odds, picks: Clemson, Florida State aim high while facing large numbers” for all 14 teams in the conference as posted on Thursday. The Miami football team is seeking to improve on a 5-7 2022 season. That was the first losing regular season since 2007.

Patterson chose the odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Ceasar’s and Fan Duel have the Miami over/under win total at 7.5 for the 2023 season. The expectations for the Miami football team entering the 2023 season are much lower in the second year under Mario Cristobal than they were entering 2022 in his first campaign.

Miami has a realistic path to beginning the 2023 season 5-0. Miami hosts Miami (Ohio), Texas A&M and Bethune-Cookman to begin the season, travels to Temple and hosts Georgia Tech after a bye week. If Miami can win their first five games of the 2023 season, they would only have to finish 3-3 to exceed 7.5 wins.

Exceeding 7.5 wins is a low bar for the Miami football program if they qualify for a bowl game. Last season was the first year Miami did not qualify for a bowl game since 2007. Miami has a challenging schedule after Georgia Tech that includes road games at North Carolina, Clemson and Florida State.

"Miami: Over/under 7.5 winsWins: Miami (OH), Bethune-Cookman, at Temple, Georgia Tech, Virginia, at NC State, at Boston CollegeLosses: Texas A&M, at North Carolina, Clemson, at Florida State, LouisvilleThe Hurricanes defense is littered with multiple future NFL Draft picks and Tyler Van Dyke returns at quarterback after winning ACC Offensive Rookie of the Year in 2021. But right now the competitive depth isn’t there to contend with Clemson and Florida State in the top tier of the conference.Ultimately, if Miami beats the teams it should beat, that will show the kind of consistency that was missing in Year 1 under Cristobal. Falling short to the likes of Clemson or Florida State (or even North Carolina) won’t be as troubling as long as the Canes are taking care of business when they are supposed to.Pick: Under 7.5 (-140)"

Mario Cristobal and his staff have been building more depth through their first two recruiting classes with the Hurricanes and via the transfer portal. Several 2023 freshmen signees and transfers are expected to make an impact with Miami. Cornerback, defensive tackle and the offensive line all improved depth.

Center Matt Lee and guard Javion Cohen provide Miami with a pair of proven offensive linemen as transfers. Davonte Brown, Jaden Davis and Jaidus Richard will all compete for playing time at CB. Branson Deen, Anthony Campbell and Thomas Gore add depth at DT. Francisco Mauigoa is the projected starting middle linebacker.

Next. National CFB writer Mario Cristobal 2023 pressure high. dark

Miami exceeding 7.5 wins this season is very obtainable. Defeating Texas A&M on September 9 at Hard Rock Stadium could set the tone for the season and determine whether or not they go over or under the 7.5-win total. Skeptics will be out early in the season if Miami loses to Texas A&M at home.