Late line moving in favor of Miami football versus North Carolina

Oct 8, 2022; Miami Gardens, Florida, USA; Mandatory Credit: Rich Storry-USA TODAY Sports
Oct 8, 2022; Miami Gardens, Florida, USA; Mandatory Credit: Rich Storry-USA TODAY Sports /

After opening as a 3.5-point underdog earlier this week, the Miami football team is plus 2.5 at North Carolina on Saturday night according to FanDuel. The late money is clearly trending toward Miami. The move in the line toward the Hurricanes is surprising after the devastating loss Miami had to Georgia Tech last week.

Miami travels to North Carolina with a four-game losing streak versus the Tar Heels. Miami lost 27-24 to North Carolina in 2022 as a 4.5-point favorite. North Carolina won 45-42 in 2021 as a 7.5-point favorite, 62-26 in 2020 as a 3.0 underdog and 28-25 with the Miami football team favored by 5.0 points in 2019.

The Miami football team is 3-2 versus the spread this season. Miami won 48-7 as a 53.5-point favorite over Bethune-Cookman, 38-3 as a 16.5-point favorite over Miami (Ohio) in the season opener, 48-33 as a 2.5 point underdog versus Texas A&M and 41-7 as a 22.5 point favorite at Temple.

Miami lost last week 23-20 to Georgia Tech as a 20.5-point favorite. This was the second year in a row Miami lost outright favored by more than 20 points. Miami lost 45-31 to Middle Tennessee State last season as a 25.5-point favorite. Miami seems to have one inexplicable loss every season.

North Carolina has been favored in all five games this season. The Tar Heels won 31-17 over South Carolina as a 2.5-point favorite, 40-34 over Appalachian State, – 19.5, 31-13, -7.0 versus Minnesota, defeated Pittsburgh 41-24, -7.0 and crushed Syracuse 40-7 favored by 9.5. North Carolina is 4-1 versus the spread in 2023.

Next. Miami at UNC week 7 prediction, odds, spread and total. dark

Most prognosticators expect a close game. With the spread moving under a field goal the gamble is almost betting on the outright winner. The over/under for Miami at North Carolina is 56.5. Miami and North Carolina went under 56.5 last season in a 27-24 Tar Heels win. This season betting the over is the best gamble.