Miami football at North Carolina State: Week 10 Prediction, Odds, Spread and total

Oct 23, 2021; Miami Gardens, Florida, USA; Mandatory Credit: Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports
Oct 23, 2021; Miami Gardens, Florida, USA; Mandatory Credit: Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports /

The Miami football team travels to Raleigh to face North Carolina State on Saturday attempting to extend their winning streak to three games. North Carolina State defeated Clemson last week. The winner on Saturday still has an outside shot at an ACC Championship game berth. The loser is essentially eliminated.

Miami exceeded its 2022 win total with its victory over Virginia last week. The Hurricanes win over the Cavaliers also clinched a bowl berth. Miami remains just outside the top 25 in the rankings. Iowa, Miami, North Carolina and Rutgers are the only two-loss Power Five teams not nationally ranked.

Miami leads the all-time series with North Carolina State 11-5-1. The Hurricanes are 4-1 in Raleigh. Miami has won its last four games versus North Carolina State. The Wolfpack last defeated the Hurricanes in 2008. Miami most recently defeated North Carolina State 21-20 in 2021 and 44-41 in 2020.

Miami and North Carolina State features the second and third-best teams in the ACC in sacks. Which team gets to the quarterback more often will be one of the biggest things to watch on Saturday. The Miami football team has 28 sacks this season and North Carolina State has 24. Miami has a far better offensive line.

Miami football at North Carolina State: Odds, Spread and Total

The Miami football team is a 5.5-point favorite at North Carolina State per FanDuel. The moneyline lists Miami as a minus 235 favorite. North Carolina State is plus 190 on the money line. The total for the game is 44.5. FanDuel lists the over at minus 105 and the under at minus 115. FanDuel has 10 prop bets listed for Saturday.

Miami at North Carolina State Betting Trends

Miami is 4-4 this season versus the point spread and North Carolina State is 3-5. The Hurricanes are 2-3 this season as a favorite and the Wolfpack is 2-2 as an underdog. This is the smallest spread for Miami as a favorite this season. Miami had failed to cover in their last two games as a favorite.

Five of the eight Miami games this season have exceeded the over. The over has been exceeded only twice in North Carolina State games this season. The 44.5-point total is the lowest for any Miami game this season. North Carolina State has had its last three games set with a 44.5-point total or lower.

Miami at North Carolina State: How to Watch and Listen

Television (ACC Network)
• Wes Durham (play-by-play)
• Tim Hasselbeck (color)
• Taylor Tannebaum (sideline)

Flagship Radio (560 WQAM)
• Joe Zagacki (play-by-play)
• Don Bailey, Jr. (color)
• Josh Darrow (sideline)

Spanish Radio (americaradio 1260)
• Alfredo Alvarez (play-by-play)
• Jose Martinez (color)

Courtesy MiamiHurricanes.Com

Miami at North Carolina State: Key Players to Watch

The key players to watch for Miami are quarterback Tyler Van Dyke and edge rusher Rueben Bain. Miami needs Van Dyke to break his slump. Van Dyke has completed 75 passes in 114 attempts for 842 yards five touchdowns and seven interceptions in his last three starts. Miami needs Van Dyke to limit his interceptions.

Bain has 18 tackles, six TFLs and five sacks in the last three games. Bain has earned the ACC Defensive Lineman of the Week each of the last two weeks. North Carolina State linebacker Payton Wilson leads the ACC with 89 tackles and has 9.0 tackles for loss 4.0 sacks and two interceptions.

Next. Miami SHOULD have big advantage at QB at NC State. dark


Both the spread and the over/under are difficult calls this week. Miami should win. If Miami does not turn the ball over, they should cover the 5.5-point spread that has moved in their favor since earlier this week. The under seems more likely to come in than the over with neither offense topping 30 points in their last two games.