Miami football at Florida State: Week 11 Prediction, Odds, Spread and total

Nov 5, 2022; Miami Gardens, Florida, USA; Mandatory Credit: Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports
Nov 5, 2022; Miami Gardens, Florida, USA; Mandatory Credit: Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports /

The Miami football team plays at Florida State on Saturday as nearly a two-touchdown underdog. Florida State enters the game on Saturday after clinching an ACC Championship Game berth following its win at Pittsburgh last week. Miami lost 20-6 in an abysmal offensive performance at North Carolina State last week.

Miami leads the all-time series with Florida State 35-32. Florida State has won two in a row and nine of the last 13 in the series. The game at Florida State begins a difficult three-game stretch to finish the 2023 regular season. Miami hosts number 11 Louisville next week and plays at Boston College on November 24.

Florida State is the highest-ranked team the Miami football program will play since a 44-13 loss to Alabama in the 2021 season opener. Miami is 1-1 versus ranked teams in 2023. Miami defeated then-23rd-ranked Texas A&M 48-33 on September 9. Number 12 North Carolina beat Miami 41-31 on October 14.

Florida State is entering a game versus Miami with a national ranking for the first time since 2018. Miami was last ranked versus Florida State when the number 12 Hurricanes defeated the Seminoles 52-10 in 2020. Miami and Florida State have not played each other when both were ranked since 2016.

Miami football at Florida State: Odds, Spread and Total

The Miami football team is a 13.5-point underdog at Florida State per FanDuel. The moneyline lists Miami as a plus 450 underdog. Florida State is minus 630 on the money line. The total for the game is 50.5. FanDuel lists the over at minus 115 and the under at minus 105. FanDuel has 28 prop bets listed for Saturday.

Miami at Florida State Betting Trends

Miami is 4-5 this season versus the point spread. The Hurricanes have failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games. Florida State is 6-3 versus the number in 2023. Miami is 2-1 versus the spread as an underdog and 1-2 on the road. Florida State is 5-3 as a favorite versus the point spread and 3-1 at home.

Five of the nine Miami games this season have gone over. Six of the nine Florida State games have eclipsed the total. Two of the three Miami road games have gone over. Three of the five Florida State home games have exceeded the total. Three of the last four Miami games have gone over the total.

Miami at Florida State: How to Watch and Listen

Saturday, November 11, 2023, 3:30 PM ET | ABC
Tallahassee, Fla., Doak Campbell Stadium (79,560)

Television (ABC)
• Sean McDonough (play-by-play)
• Greg McElroy (color)
• Molly McGrath (sideline)

Flagship Radio (560 WQAM)
• Joe Zagacki (play-by-play)
• Don Bailey, Jr. (color)
• Josh Darrow (sideline)

Spanish Radio (americaradio 1260)
• Alfredo Alvarez (play-by-play)
• Jose Martinez (color)

Courtesy MiamiHurricanes.Com

Miami at Florida State: Key Players to Watch

The key player to watch on the Miami football team at Florida State is the quarterback. The question all week has been will Tyler Van Dyke start. If Miami elects to make a change at QB the expectation is that Emory Williams will start with the potential of Jacurri Brown getting snaps.

The players to watch for Florida State on Saturday are wide receivers Keon Coleman and Johnny Wilson. Coleman and Wilson missed last week’s game at Pittsburgh with injuries. Coleman and Wilson and backups Duece Spann and Hykeem Williams are all listed as questionable for Saturday.

Next. Computer Model picks Miami Florida State. dark


The spread will likely be determined by how well Van Dyke potentially plays and the health of the Florida State receivers. Florida State struggled at times offensively in a 24-7 win over Pittsburgh last week. The spread will be tight. With how Miami has struggled offensively in ACC play, the under seems like a sure bet.