Louisville at Miami football: Week 12 Prediction, Odds, Spread and total

The Miami football team hosts Louisville on Saturday in the final home game of the season. Miami fought hard but lost 27-20 at Florida State last weekend. Louisville earned a 31-24 win over Virginia last week. The Cardinals are ranked 10th nationally. Louisville needs a win to clinch a berth in the ACC Championship Game.

Louisville enters the game on Saturday 10th in the College Football Playoff rankings. Miami is playing top 10 teams in consecutive games for the first time since 2017. The Hurricanes are 5-1 at home this season. That is a big turnaround from 2022 when Miami was 0-4 in ACC home games.

Louisville is 2-1 on the road this season. The Cardinals’ only 2023 loss was 38-21 at Pittsburgh last month. Louisville has played far better at home in 2023. Louisville is averaging 38.8 points per game on the road and 23.5 on the road. The Cardinals allow 12.5 PPG at home and 24.5 PPG on the road.

Miami is averaging 35.2 PPG and allowing 18.7 PPG at home. The Miami offense has struggled in ACC Play. Miami only passed 30 points in the ACC in a 41-31 loss at North Carolina. The high mark for the Miami offense at home was a 29-26 win over Virginia three weeks ago. Louisville will be the best defense Miami plays in 2023.

Miami football at Florida State: Odds, Spread and Total

The Miami football team is a 1.5-point underdog versus Louisville per FanDuel. The moneyline lists Louisville and Miami at minus 110. The total for the game is 46.5. FanDuel lists the over at minus 105 and the under at minus 115. FanDuel has 29 prop bets listed for Saturday.

Louisville at Miami Betting Trends

Louisville and Miami are each 5-5 versus the point spread this season. Louisville is 0-4 versus the spread on the road. Miami is 3-3 versus the spread at home. Four Louisville games this season have gone over the total, five under and there was one push. The total has split the 10 Miami football games in 2023.

Louisville at Miami: How to Watch and Listen

Saturday, November 18, 2023, 3:30 PM ET | ABC, Miami Gardens, Fla., Hard Rock Stadium (65,326).

LOUISVILLE CARDINALS
Record: 9-1, 6-1 ACC, Ranking: No. 9 AP/No. 9 Coaches, Last Game: Def. Virginia, 31-24 Head Coach: Jeff Brohm, Career Record: 75-45, Louisville Record: 9-1

Miami Hurricanes, Record: 6-4, 2-4 ACC, Last Game: Lost to No. 4 Florida State 27-20, Head Coach: Mario Cristobal, Career Record: 73-71, Miami Record: 11-11

Television (ABC)
• Sean McDonough (play-by-play)
• Greg McElroy (color)
• Molly McGrath (sideline)

Flagship Radio (560 WQAM)
• Joe Zagacki (play-by-play)
• Don Bailey, Jr. (color)
• Josh Darrow (sideline)

Spanish Radio (americaradio 1260)
• Alfredo Alvarez (play-by-play)
• Jose Martinez (color)

Courtesy of College Press Box and MiamiHurricanes.Com

Louisville at Miami: Key Players to Watch

Running back Jawhar Jordan and wide receiver Jamari Thrash are the players to watch for Louisville. Jordan and Thrash are both a threat to score every time they touch the ball. Jordan has 976 rushing yards and 11 touchdowns, 14 receptions for 193 receiving yards and one TD.

Thrash has 49 receptions for 734 yards and seven TDs. Jordan leads the ACC with nine plays of 30 or more yards this season. Thrash is fifth with seven plays of 30 or more yards. Expect Miami to try and make Louisville quarterback Jack Plummer beat them. Tyler Van Dyke is the player to watch for Miami.

After being benched last week versus Florida State, Van Dyke is back as the starter following the season-ending arm injury to Emory Williams. Miami needs Van Dyke to take care of the ball versus Louisville on Saturday. The Louisville pass defense ranks 11th in the ACC allowing 208.2 yards per game.

Prediction

The spread is tight. With Louisville favored by 1.5, a bet on the Cardinals or Miami is basically betting on the outright winner. The 46.5-point total is a surer bet. Expect a low-scoring game. Miami and Louisville are the top two run defenses in the ACC. Quarterback play could decide the outcome of the game on Saturday.