The ESPN Football Power Index projections for Miami to beat North Carolina State on Saturday remained the same as they did entering week 11 and the games at Virginia Tech and Pittsburgh are within one percentage point of what they were previously in the week 12 metrics.
Miami has an 88.3 percent chance to defeat North Carolina State on Saturday in the week 12 ESPN FPI projections. North Carolina State had a week 11 bye after defeating previously undefeated Georgia Tech 48-36 in week 10.
Miami has 11 wins, six losses, and one tie all-time versus NC State. The Wolfpack beat the Hurricanes 20-6 in Raleigh in 2023 to end a four-game losing streak in the series. North Carolina State has not won a game at Miami since a 19-16 overtime victory in 2007.
Miami has a 88.5 percent chance to win at Virginia Tech on November 22 per the ESPN FPI projections. That is down from 88.7 percent in the week 11 projections. Virginia Tech lost 28-16 to Louisville on November 1. After a week 11 bye, Virginia Tech is at Florida State on Saturday.
Date | Opponent | Record | Projection | Last Week |
|---|---|---|---|---|
11/15 | NC State | 5-4, 2-3 | 88.3 | 88.3 |
11/22 | At Virginia Tech | 3-6. 2-3 | 88.5 | 88.7 |
11/29 | At Pittsburgh | 7-2, 5-1 | 68.0 | 67.0 |
Miami has 26 wins and 15 losses versus Virginia Tech. The Miami series with Virginia Tech is the fourth most played in Hurricanes' history. Miami has played Florida State 68 times, Florida 58 and Pittsburgh 42. Miami or Virginia Tech won outright or tied for all three Big East Championships from 1991 through 2003.
The projections for Miami winning at Pittsburgh improved from 67.0 percent entering week 11 to 68.0 percent currently. Pittsburgh is 7-2 overall and tied for first in the ACC with Georgia Tech, SMU and Virginia at 5-1. Depending on how the next two weeks play out, the Miami at Pittsburgh game could have huge implications in the ACC.
Miami needs a lot to happen in the next two weeks to remain in contention for an ACC Championship Game berth. The Hurricanes need to win against North Carolina State and at Virginia Tech to remain in the race for Charlotte. Miami should be the second-highest-ranked ACC team behind Georgia Tech when the College Football Playoff rankings are released on Tuesday night.