The ESPN Football Index projections for each of the six remaining 2025 Miami regular-season games dropped after the loss to Louisville on Friday night. Miami is still a significant favorite in all six of its remaining 2025 regular-season games.
Miami dropped from a 97.7 percent chance to beat Stanford on Saturday to 96.3 in the ESPN FPI. The ESPN FPI currently has Miami ninth in its ratings. Stanford is currently 79th in the ESPN FPI. Miami is currently a 30.5-point favorite over Stanford in FanDuel Sportsbook odds.
The toughest remaining game on the Miami schedule, per the ESPN FPI, is at SMU on November 1. Miami dropped from having a 73.8 percent chance to beat SMU to 64.6 percent in the ESPN FPI simulations. SMU is 30th in the ESPN FPI.
Miami still has an over 90 percent favorite to beat Syracuse in its penultimate 2025 regular-season home game. After Miami had a 94.8 percent chance to beat Syracuse last week in the ESPN FPI simulations, they are now at 94.5 percent. Syracuse is currently 74th in the ESPN FPI.
Date | Opponent | Record | Projection | Last Week |
---|---|---|---|---|
10/25 | Stanford | 3-4 | 96.3 | 97.7 |
11/1 | At SMU | 5-2 | 64.6 | 73.8 |
11/8 | Syracuse | 3-4 | 94.5 | 94.8 |
11/15 | NC State | 4-3 | 88.8 | 90.0 |
11/22 | At Virginia Tech | 2-5 | 88.2 | 90.0 |
11/29 | At Pittsburgh | 5-2 | 71.7 | 78.4 |
Miami has an 88.8 percent chance to defeat North Carolina State in its final 2025 regular-season home game. That is down from 90.0 percent last week. North Carolina State is 61st in the ESPN FPI. NC State is projected to be the most challenging of the three remaining 2025 regular-season home games.
Virginia Tech has the worst record among the remaining 2025 Miami opponents at 2-5. Miami dropped from a 90.0 chance to win at Virginia Tech in the ESPN FPI to 88.2 percent in the updated simulations. Virginia Tech is 70th in the ESPN FPI.
Miami finishes the regular season at Pittsburgh in what has frequently been a difficult game for the Hurricanes. Pittsburgh ended an undefeated season for Miami in the final 2017 regular-season game. Miami dropped from a 78.4 percent chance to win at Pittsburgh to 71.7 percent. Pittsburgh is 43rd in the FPI.
Despite dropping in every projected game for the remainder of the second half of the 2025 regular season, Miami is still a significant favorite. Games at SMU and Pittsburgh are likely to be difficult. SMU is currently 3-0 in the ACC, tied for second place with Virginia. Pittsburgh is 3-1 in the ACC, tied for fourth with Duke.