![Florida Gators quarterback DJ Lagway (2) scramble for yards during the season opener at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, FL on Saturday, August 31, 2024 against the University of Miami Hurricanes in the second half. Miami defeated the Gators 41-17. [Doug Engle/Gainesville Sun]](https://images2.minutemediacdn.com/image/upload/c_crop,x_0,y_83,w_3890,h_2188/c_fill,w_720,ar_16:9,f_auto,q_auto,g_auto/images/ImagnImages/mmsport/200/01k5jk2awycb01cadd46.jpg "Florida Gators quarterback DJ Lagway (2) scramble for yards during the season opener at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, FL on Saturday, August 31, 2024 against the University of Miami Hurricanes in the second half. Miami defeated the Gators 41-17. [Doug Engle/Gainesville Sun]")
Miami is a 7.5-point favorite over Florida in the latest odds from the FanDuel Sportsbook for Saturday night. The Hurricanes were favored by as many as 9.5 points since week three games concluded last Saturday. Miami is 3-0 and Florida is 1-2 entering the ABC primetime kickoff at Hard Rock Stadium.
Florida is +240 on the money line and Miami is -310. The over/under for Florida at Miami is 51.5 points. Betting the over is -105 and taking the under is -115. Miami has a 75.2 percent chance to defeat Florida, according to the ESPN Football Power Index.
Florida is 1-2 against the point spread in 2025. Florida won 55-0 over Long Island as a 46.5-point favorite in their season opener. South Florida beat Florida 18-16 in week two as an 18.0-point underdog. Florida lost 20-10 last week at LSU as a 5.0-point underdog.
Miami is 1-2 against the point spread during the 2025 season. Miami beat Notre Dame 27-24 in the season opener as a 5.5-point underdog, defeated Bethune-Cookman 45-3 as a 53.5-point favorite and won 49-12 over South Florida as a 17.5-point favorite.
Florida and Miami 2025 history against the over/under
All three Florida games have gone under the total in 2025. The over/under was 56.5 versus Long Island in the season opener, 57.5 against South Florida in week two and 47.0 at LSU in week three. Florida is 26th nationally, allowing 12.7 points per game.
Two of the three Miami games have gone over the total. Notre Dame at Miami was 50.5 in week one, Bethune-Cookman had a total of 64.5 in week two and it was 56.0 for South Florida in week three. Miami is in the top 30 nationally in points scored and allowed per game.
Florida at Miami predictions
The only way Florida will cover the spread is to keep the game extremely low scoring, like their losses to South Florida and LSU. Take Miami with confidence to cover and the under. Florida should be the best defense and offensive line Miami has played in 2025.