Miami A Bigger Favorite Over Florida State after Seminoles Loss at Virginia

Miami is now a heavier favorite against Florida State on October 4, after the Seminoles were upset by Virginia on Friday night.
Oct 26, 2024; Miami Gardens, Florida, USA; Miami Hurricanes running back Mark Fletcher Jr. (4) reacts after scoring a touchdown against the Florida State Seminoles during the first quarter at Hard Rock Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Sam Navarro-Imagn Images
Oct 26, 2024; Miami Gardens, Florida, USA; Miami Hurricanes running back Mark Fletcher Jr. (4) reacts after scoring a touchdown against the Florida State Seminoles during the first quarter at Hard Rock Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Sam Navarro-Imagn Images | Sam Navarro-Imagn Images

After opening as a 4.5-point favorite at Florida State on October 4, Miami is now favored by 6.5 points per the FanDuel Sportsbook after the Seminoles lost 46-38 in double overtime at Virginia on Friday night. Florida State should plummet in the rankings that will be released on Sunday.

Miami is -215 on the money line and Florida State is +176. The Hurricanes opened at -182 on the money line and the Seminoles were +152. The over/under for Miami at Florida State remained at 55.5 points. Miami will be favored for the fourth time in five games this season at Florida State.

Florida State was a 6.5-point favorite at Virginia on Friday night. Taking Virginia and the points was -105 and laying the points with Florida State was -115. Florida State was -245 on the money line at Virginia and the Cavaliers were +198.

Friday night was the first time Florida State has not covered the point spread in 2025. Florida State beat Alabama as a 13.5 underdog in the season opener and covered as a 44.5 favorite over Texas A&M Commerce and 45.5 points over Kent St

Florida State has covered the point spread in all three of its 2025 games. Alabama was a 13.5-point favorite in a 31-17 loss in the season-opening loss at Florida State. Florida State beat Texas A&M-Commerce 77-3 as a 44.5-point favorite and defeated Kent State 66-10 as a 45.5-point favorite.

Miami is 3-1 versus the point spread in 2025. The only time Miami did not cover the point spread in 2025 was as a 53.5-point favorite over Bethune-Cookman in a 45-3 win. Miami should be favored in every game for the remainder of the 2025 season.

Miami has byes bracketing the game at Florida State on October 4. The Hurricanes will begin a stretch of seven consecutive games to end the season on October 17 versus Louisville. Louisville improved to 4-0 in 2025 with a 34-26 win at Pittsburgh on Saturday.

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