Miami will seek its third consecutive win at Pittsburgh on Saturday. Miami won 38-34 at Pittsburgh in 2021 and 16-12 in 2019. The Hurricanes and Panthers are playing for the first time since a Pittsburgh win in Miami in 2022.
Miami is a 6.5-point favorite over Pittsburgh on Saturday per the FanDuel Sportsbook. Laying the points with Miami is -120. Taking Pittsburgh and the points is -102. Miami is -250 on the money line and Pittsburgh is +205. The over/under is 49.5. Betting the over is -105 and the under is -115.
Miami has six wins and five losses in 2025 against the point spread. The Hurricanes have three wins and four losses against the spread in ACC games and are one victory and two defeats against the number on the road. Miami has been the favorite in every game this season except the season-opening win over Notre Dame.
Pittsburgh has eight wins and three losses in 2025 against the point-spread to match its overall record. The Panthers have six wins and one loss against the spread versus ACC opponents to match their conference record and four victories and two defeats at home against the number in 2025.
Pittsburgh has two wins and two losses as an underdog in 2025. The Panthers lost both of their games as home underdogs in 2025. Louisville won 34-27 at Pittsburgh on September 27 as a 3.0-point favorite. Notre Dame won 37-15 as a 13.0-point favorite.
Miami and Pittsburgh 2025 Over/Under histories
Five Miami games have gone over in 2025 and six have gone under. Seven Pittsburgh games have gone over, three under and one was a push in 2025. The first two Miami road games at Florida State and SMU went under and the game at Virginia Tech last week was under the total.
Four Pittsburgh home games have gone over, one pushed and the other was under this season. Pittsburgh won all four of their home games that went over and lost the push and the game that went under. Miami was 1-1 in its road games that went under and won last week at Virginia Tech went it went over.
Miami at Pittsburgh predicitions
Miami is an enigma. Louisville and SMU beat Miami in games that the Hurricanes had a chance to put themselves in position to win late in the game. The 6.5-point total is tight. The bet here is that Pittsburgh keeps it close enough to cover, but Miami wins.
The weather is not expected to have a major impact on Miami at Pittsburgh. Miami games have primarily trended under in 2025. On the road in a game considered cold for Miami, expect the Hurricanes to lean on the run against Pittsburgh.