Miami is eighth nationally in the post week seven ESPN Football Power Index. Miami moved up one spot after Mississippi fell five places in the ESPN FPI as a result of a 24-21 win over Washington State on Saturday. Ohio State is first in the ESPN FPI and in both national polls.
The ESPN FPI simulations project Miami to finish with 11.7 wins and 1.1 wins with a 29.6 percent chance to win out, 56.1 percent to win the ACC, 80.5 percent for a College Football Playoff berth, 16.3 percent to make the national championship game and 7.8 percent to win the title.
Miami is fourth in the ESPN FPI strength of record, has the 14th toughest strength of schedule, the 66th remaining SOS, second in game control and in in-game win probability. The Hurricanes are fourth in overall and defensive efficiency, 15th in offensive efficiency and 77th in special teams efficiency.
Florida State is the second-ranked ACC team in the ESPN FPI at 25th. Louisville, 37th nationally and sixth in the ACC in the ESPN FPI, plays at Miami on Friday night. All of the remaining teams on the Miami regular-season schedule have less than a 2.0 percent chance to earn a CFP berth.
NEW: Updated ESPN FPI after week 7 of the College Football season๐๐https://t.co/gPIWuGIQfq pic.twitter.com/QGigiLxbzK
โ On3 (@On3sports) October 12, 2025
Of the remaining teams on the 2025 Miami regular season schedule, SMU is 40th in the ESPN FPI, Pittsburgh 45th, North Carolina State 58th, Virginia Tech 70th, Syracuse 71st and Stanford 89th. Miami will be a huge favorite in all six of its remaining 2025 regular-season games.
ESPN states the FPI as a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team's performance going forward for the rest of the season. Miami has a strong SOS through its first five games and an impressive resume, no real opportunities to add to its resume over its final seven games.