Miami is a 2.5-point underdog in the FanDuel Sportsbook odds to Louisville in the ACC Tournament quarterfinals on Thursday. The Hurricanes are the underdog despite being the third-seed in the ACC Tournament against the sixth-seeded Cardinals. Louisville won 92-89 at Miami on Saturday,
Louisville advanced to the ACC Tournament quarterfinals with a 62-58 win over SMU on Wednesday afternoon. Miami is +118 on the money line and Louisville is -142. The over/under for Louisville versus Miami is -154.5. Louisville covered as a 1.5-point favorite on Saturday and the over/under was 155.5.
Miami is 16-13-1 against the point spread in 2025-26 and Louisville is 16-16. The Hurricanes are 9-8-1 against the spread versus ACC opponents and the Cardinals are 7-12-0. Louisville is 15-13 as a favorite against the point spread and Miami is 6-3 as an underdog in 2025-26.
Miami is 1-2 against the spread in neutral-site games and Louisville is 3-1. Louisville was a 6.5-point favorite over SMU for the first and only time the Cardinals have not covered the point spread in 2025-26 in a neutral-site game.
Miami and Louisville 2025-26 Over/Under history
Miami has had 18 games go over, 11 under and one was a push in 2025-26. Louisville has had 14 games go over and 18 during the 2025-26 season. Miami averages 82.7 points per game and allows 70.7. Louisville averages 85.9 PPG and allows 72.5.
Against ACC opponents, Miami is sixth in the conference averaging 77.8 PPG and fourth allowing 72.9. Louisville leads the ACC averaging 82.3 PPG against conference opponents and is eighth allowing 75.4. Louisville shot 60.38 percent from the field on Saturday and Miami was at 56.36 percent.
Expect Miami and Louisville to improve defensively in a one-and-one tournament. Miami shoots 50.6 percent from the field for the season and holds opponents to 44.1 percent. Louisville shots 47.2 percent from trhe ield and holds opponents to 42.2 percent from the field.,