Notre Dame at Miami final odds and predictions with odds moving late

The point spread for Miami has moved slightly since earlier in the week, a few hours ahead of kickoff.
Nov 11, 2017; Miami Gardens, FL, USA; Miami Hurricanes defensive back Trajan Bandy (2) runs the ball after intercepting a pass from Notre Dame Fighting Irish quarterback Ian Book (12, not pictured) during the first half at Hard Rock Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jasen Vinlove-Imagn Images
Nov 11, 2017; Miami Gardens, FL, USA; Miami Hurricanes defensive back Trajan Bandy (2) runs the ball after intercepting a pass from Notre Dame Fighting Irish quarterback Ian Book (12, not pictured) during the first half at Hard Rock Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jasen Vinlove-Imagn Images | Jasen Vinlove-Imagn Images

Notre Dame is a 2.5-point favorite over Miami a few hours ahead of kickoff on Sunday, according to the FanDuel Sportsbook. The line moved to Notre Dame -3.0 on Saturday before moving back down to Miami +2.5. For the first two weeks of August, Notre Dame was a two-point favorite.

Notre Dame is -115 at -2.5. Miami is -105 at +2.5 points. Notre Dame is -137 on the money line and Miami is +114, according to the FanDuel Sportsbook. The Fighting Irish opened at -130 and they have been as high as -151 on the money line and as low as -125.

Miami opened at +110 on the money line and has been as high as +105 and as low as +131. The Hurricanes were +131 on the money line late on Saturday night. The late money appears to be coming in on Miami. Miami enters the game versus Notre Dame with a six-game home winning streak.

Miami was 3-2-1 versus the point spread at home in 2024. The Hurricanes were favored in all six 2024 home games. Notre Dame covered in all three of their 2024 road games. Miami beat Notre Dame 41-8 the last time the Fighting Irish and Hurricanes played during the 2017 season.

The over/under for Notre Dame at Miami is 51.5. Two of the three Notre Dame away games in 2024 went over. Four of the six 2024 Miami home games went under. Only three Miami games went under in 2024. Nine Notre Dame games went over in 2024 and seven under, including the College Football Playoffs.

Miami has uncertainty in their passing offense and in the secondary entering the 2025 season. The Hurricanes are going to need to rely on Mark Fletcher and Jordan Lyle at running back, lean on the offensive line and create a few big plays. Notre Dame has a deep and talented RB corps as well.

It would be shocking for Miami to win as convincingly versus Notre Dame on Sunday night like they did in 2017. Miami built momentum entering the 2017 game versus Notre Dame with a 13-game winning streak. Behind the raucous primetime crowd at Hard Rock Stadium, Miami wins a close, relatively low-scoring game.

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