Miami is new favorite to win ACC after week one results
![Florida Gators head coach Billy Napier, left shakes hands with Miami Hurricanes head coach Mario Cristobal after the Hurricanes defeated the Gators during the season opener at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, FL on Saturday, August 31, 2024 against the University of Miami Hurricanes. The Hurricanes defeated the Gators 41-17. [Doug Engle/Gainesville Sun]](https://images2.minutemediacdn.com/image/upload/c_crop,w_7841,h_4410,x_0,y_0/c_fill,w_1080,ar_16:9,f_auto,q_auto,g_auto/images%2FImagnImages%2Fmmsport%2F200%2F01j74kmaeb4a9f3f1m55.jpg "Florida Gators head coach Billy Napier, left shakes hands with Miami Hurricanes head coach Mario Cristobal after the Hurricanes defeated the Gators during the season opener at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, FL on Saturday, August 31, 2024 against the University of Miami Hurricanes. The Hurricanes defeated the Gators 41-17. [Doug Engle/Gainesville Sun]")
Following their 41-17 season-opening win at Florida, Clemson's 34-3 loss to Georgia and the 0-2 start by Florida State, Miami is the new favorite to win the ACC. Metrics and oddsmakers both project Miami as the new favorite in the ACC. Florida State opened the season as the ACC favorite.
Florida State was favored to win the ACC by the ESPN Football Power Index and odds makers. Miami began the season 23rd in the FPI. Florida State was 11th. After its win over Florida, Miami has taken Florida State's spot at 11th in the FPI. After an 0-2 start, Florida State has dropped to 36th in the FPI.
Miami is at plus 165 to win the ACC by FanDuel. Clemson is the second favorite by FanDuel at plus 300, followed by Louisville at plus 700 and ACC newcomer SMU led by former Miami offensive coordinator Rhett Lashlee at plus 950. Florida State is at plus 5000 to win the ACC by FanDuel.
The FPI projects Miami as the favorite with a 26.2 percent chance to win the ACC. Louisville is a close second with a 25.3 percent chance to win the ACC in the FPI. Clemson is third at 12.3 percent, Every other team is listed with less than a 10 percent chance to win the ACC. Florida State has a 0.6 percent chance to win the ACC.
After Week 1, here's the implied odds for who is projected to win the ACC according to Vegas
— CJ Olson (@CJOlsonFB) September 4, 2024
Miami is by far the hugest gainer in any conference, going up over 10%.
Florida State has also plummeted down to just over 2% after opening the season as one of the top contenders. https://t.co/bP9WFwVKjn pic.twitter.com/Wd3KejLOgP
Miami is now favored in every game by the FPI except Louisville. The FPI projects Miami with a 46.4 percent chance to beat Louisville. Louisville finished 7-1 in the ACC in 2023 to earn a berth in the conference championship game. Miami is favored by at least 64 percent in every other game except Georgia Tech.
Next. Miami ESPN FPI projections versus 2024 non-conference opponents. Miami ESPN FPI projections versus 2024 non-conference opponents. dark
Miami is projected with a 58.2 percent chance to beat Georgia Tech. The FPI also projects Miami with a 43.2 percent chance to earn a College Football Playoff berth, a 6.1 percent chance to make the National Championship game and 2.4 percent to win the title. The 2024 season looks bright for Miami.