Miami versus Florida: final odds and predictions
The Miami football team is 2.5-point favorite in the latest odds for their season opener at Florida. Miami has remained a steady 2.5 point favorite since the odds opened. Miami was 6-7 versus the spread during the 2023 season. That was an improvement over a 2-10 record versus the spread in 2022.
FanDuel lists Miami at minus 134 on the money line, with Florida at plus 112. Those numbers have come down from Miami previously being minus 146 and Florida plus 122 on the money line. The over/under is 54.5. The over is minus 105 and the under is minus 115.
Florida was 4-8 versus the point spread during the 2023 season. The Gators were 2-4 versus the spread at home and 1-1 as a home underdog. Miami was 3-2 versus the spread on the road in 2023 and 2-1 as an away favorite. Number eight Florida beat unranked Miami 24-20 as a 7.5 point favorite in the 2019 season opener.
Eight of the 13 Miami games went over last season. Seven Florida games went over in 2023. Oddly, the first four Florida games in 2023 went under, the next seven went over their 24-15 loss to Florida State in the season finale was 10 points under the total that was set at 49.
Miami -2.5. 0-0. August 31, 2024. ABC. Miami at Florida. 0-0. 526. 3:30 PM ET. 2306
No significant injuries have been reported for Miami. Florida starting running back Montrell Johnson Jr. underwent arthroscopic surgery on his left knee but is expected to play versus Miami. Tight end Keon Zipperer and wide receivers Ja'Quavion Fraziers and Andy Jean are listed as out by Newsday.
The forecast for Gainesville on Saturday is 91° with a 24 percent chance of rain with light winds. ABC is televising Miami at Florida with a 3:30 kickoff. Joe Tessitore will do play-by-play, former Florida quarterback Jesse Palmer is the analyst and Katie George will be the sideline reporter.
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The spread and outcome is tight. The safest bet is likely under. 55.5. Miami has a lot of potential offensively, but they should lean on the run behind transfer Damien Martinez more than the pass with center Zach Carpenter, quarterback Cam Ward and wide receiver Sam Brown. Miami's abiliy to make big plays could be the difference.