Stanford at Miami final odds and predictions

Miami is a 29.5-point favorite over Stanford in the latest FanDuel Sportsbook odds. Taking Stanford and the points is -115 and laying the number with Miami is -105. Stanford is +3000 on the money line and Miami is -10000. The over/under is 45.5. Taking the over is -115 and the under is -105.

The point spread was as low as Miami -29.0 on Thursday and has been as high as 30-5. Saturday is the biggest point-spread for Miami since they were a 53.5-point favorite over Bethune-Cookman in a 45-3 win. The 30.5 points Stanford is getting are their most in 2025.

Stanford has covered twice in seven 2025 games. Boston College lost 30-20 to Stanford as a 14.0-point favorite. Stanford beat Florida State 20-13 as a 17.5-point underdog. Both of those games were in Palo Alto. Stanford has lost all four of its road games and by an average of 25.3 points to power conference opponents.

Miami is 4-2 versus the point-spread in 2025. In addition to Bethune-Cookman, Miami did not cover in a 24-21 loss to Louisville last week as a 10.0-point favorite. Saturday is the sixth time that Miami is home out of seven games in 2025.

Miami has been favored in every game this season except the season opening 27-24 win over Notre Dame in the season opener. Notre Dame was a 2.5-point favorite over Miami. Saturday is the fifth time in the last six games that Miami has been a double-digit favorite.

Four games have gone over the total in 2025 for Miami and Stanford. The 45.5-point over/under is the third lowest in 2025 in a Stanford game and the fewest involving Miami. Stanford lost 27-3 to BYU with a total of 44.5 and the total was 45.0 points against Boston College.

The previous low over/under in a 2025 Miami game was 49.5 versus Louisville. The last three Miami games have gone under. A Miami game last went over in a 49-12 win over South Florida, with the total of 56.0 points.

Stanford at Miami Predictions

After the performance by Miami last week and a stagnant rushing offense in the last two weeks, the 29.5-point spread is tough to trust. Miami needs a good start against Stanford. Louisville took a 14-0 lead in the first quarter and used that margin in part to beat Miami.

Carson Beck should bounce back against a poor Stanford pass defense. Stanford is sixth in the ACC, allowing 117.29 rushing yards per game. The point-spread projects a 38-7 Miami win. Expect a closer game. Miami should be successful defensively against Stanford, which is 16th in the ACC, averaging 19.0 points per game.

Stanford should cover. Taking Miami is the safest bet, but it is a very low payout. The best bet is the under. Miami and Stanford have both trended under, especially in their most recent games. Miami should bounce back after the loss to Louisville.