Miami remains a 24.5-point favorite over Wake Forest with the late line on Friday night via FanDuel, but the money line and over/under have moved late. Wake Forest was plus 1400 on the money line and Miami is minus 4000 with the over/under at 64.5 earlier this week.
Miami is now minus 2800 and Wake Forest plus 1200 on the money line with the over/under at 67.5. Taking Wake Forest and the points were minus 105 earlier this week and is now minus 122. Laying the points with Miami was minus 115 earlier this week and is now plus 100.
Miami is 5-4-1 versus the point spread in 2024 per TeamRankings.Com. Wake Forest is 3-5-2 versus the point spread in 2024. Miami is 2-3-1 versus the spread in its last six games after covering in three of its first four in 2024. Wake Forest has not covered the spread in its last two games.
Seven Miami games have gone over this season, two have gone under and one was a push. Six Wake Forest games have gone over in 2024 and four have gone under. Two of the last three Miami games have gone under. Three of the last four games for Wake Forest have gone under.
As the season progresses, defenses usually tighten up. Miami defensive coordinator Lance Guidry spoke about games becoming tighter later in the season as defenses have more film on offenses throughout the season. Wake Forest is last in the ACC allowing 437.9 yards per game.
Miami remains first nationally averaging 45.0 points per game and 544.8 total yards per game. Wake Forest is 16th in the ACC averaging 34.5 points per game. The Miami offense versus the Wake Forest defense appears to be an uneven match-up.
Prediction
The point-spread is big, but Miami should (should) beat Wake Forest easily on Senior Day. With how Miami has played defensively the over seems more likely to come in. The final score should be similar to Miami's 52-31 win over Duke three weeks ago. Miami and the money line seem close to definite.