Changes For Miami Projections in Week Seven ESPN Football Power Index

Miami continues to be ninth in the week seven ESPN Football Power Index with slight changes in their projections for the remainder of the 2025 season. The projections are favorable for Miami winning the ACC and earning a College Football Playoff berth.

The ESPN FPI projects Miami to have 11.6 wins and 1.1 losses in its simulations. The nearly 13 games played are an indication that the vast majority of the simulations run by the ESPN FPI project Miami to at least play in the ACC Championship Game.

Miami has a 28.7 percent chance to win out, 55.7 percent to win the ACC, 77.8 percent to make the CFP, 15.6 percent to play in the title game and 7.3 percent to win the championship. The Hurricanes have the fourth-best chance to earn a CFN berth, the fifth-highest to make the title game and win the championship.

Miami is second in the FPI strength of record, has the 15th toughest strength of schedule, 66th most difficult remaining SOS, is first in game control and is second in average in-game win probability. The Hurricanes have only trailed for 9:12 and two offensive series this season.

Miami is sixth in overall efficiency, 17th in offensive efficiency, fifth in defensive efficiency and 75th in special teams efficiency through five games. The Hurricanes are 12th nationally, allowing 12.6 points per game and 39th, averaging 35.0 PPG.

Miami is 45th, averaging 428.0 yards per game and 16t,h permitting 276.4 YPG. The offense and defense balance each other out more for Miami in 2025 than it did during the 2024 season, when the Hurricanes finished 10-2 in the regular season and just missed a CFP berth.

Florida State is the second-highest rated team in the ESPN FPI at 24th. The highest-rated remaining team on the 2025 Miami regular-season schedule is Louisville. Louisville is 37th in the FPI and plays at Miami on October 17 in the next game for both teams.