Miami is a 3.5-point favorite over Ole Miss in the FanDuel Sportsbook opening line for the Fiesta Bowl College Football Playoff semifinal on Jan. 8. Mississippi defeated Georgia 39-34 in the Sugar Bowl quarterfinal on Thursday night.
Laying the points with Miami is +100. Taking the points and Mississippi is -122. Miami is -160 on the moneyline and Mississippi is +132. The over/under for the Fiesta Bowl is -51.5. Brett McMurphy of On3 reported on Wednesday night if Georgia had won the Sugar Bowl, they would have been a 2.5-point favorite over Miami.
After beating Ohio State on Wednesday night as a 7.5-point underdog, Miami is 9-5 against the point spread in 2025. Mississippi is also 9-5 against the point spread in 2025 after winning outright as an underdog against Georgia.
The Ohio State game was only the third time Miami has been an underdog in 2025. Miami beat Notre Dame 27-24 in the season as a 2.5-point underdog and won 10-3 at Texas A&M with the Aggies favored by 3 points in the first round of the CFP.
Projected Fiesta Bowl College Football Playoff semifinal pointspread via @_Collin1
— Brett McMurphy (@Brett_McMurphy) January 2, 2026
Miami -4 Ole Miss
Miami as a favorite in 2025
Miami is 6-5 against the point spread as the favorite in 2025. The Hurricanes were favored in their final 11 games of the 2025 regular season. Miami has covered in its last three games and enters the Fiesta Bowl with six consecutive wins.
Mississippi is 2-1 against the point spread as an underdog. Georgia beat Mississippi 43-35 as a 7-point favorite during the regular season. Mississippi won 34-26 at Oklahoma as a 5.5-point underdog. Miami is 4-2 against the spread away from home and Mississippi is 2-2.
Over/under history
Five out of 14 Miami games have gone under in 2025. The 51.5 points is the fifth highest for a Miami game in 2025. Six out of 13 Mississippi games have gone under in 2025. The 51.5 over/under is the second-lowest for a 2025 Mississippi game. Mississippi won 30-23 at Kentucky with a total of 50.
Miami versus Mississippi game information
The Fiesta Bowl between Miami and Ole Miss will kick off on ESPN at 7:30 PM Eastern Standard Time on Jan. 8 from State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona. The announcing team for the Fiesta Bowl has not been announced yet.