![Florida Gators quarterback DJ Lagway (2) throw a pass during the season opener at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, FL on Saturday, August 31, 2024 against the University of Miami Hurricanes in the second half. Miami defeated the Gators 41-17. [Doug Engle/Gainesville Sun]](https://images2.minutemediacdn.com/image/upload/c_crop,x_0,y_0,w_3057,h_1719/c_fill,w_720,ar_16:9,f_auto,q_auto,g_auto/images/ImagnImages/mmsport/200/01k54k87g1ftneztsdbt.jpg "Florida Gators quarterback DJ Lagway (2) throw a pass during the season opener at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, FL on Saturday, August 31, 2024 against the University of Miami Hurricanes in the second half. Miami defeated the Gators 41-17. [Doug Engle/Gainesville Sun]")
Miami has opened as an 8.5-point favorite over Florida in the FanDuel Sportsbook. Miami is -300 on the money line and Florida is +240. The over/under for Florida at Miami at Hard Rock Stadium for the 7:30 PM Eastern Daylight Time kickoff on Saturday night is 51.5.
Miami was a 2.5-point favorite over Florida in a 41-17 win in the 2025 season opener. Miami has been a favorite in all three of their games in 2025. Florida was favored in home games versus Long Island and South Florida and an underdog at LSU on Saturday.
Miami is 2-1 against the spread in 2025 and Florida is 1-2. Miami won 27-24 in the week one season opener as a 5.5-point underdog against Notre Dame, beat Bethune-Cookman 45-3 as a 53.5 point favorite and was a 17.5 point favorite in a 49-12 win over South Florida on Saturday.
Florida beat Long Island 55-0 as a 46.5 point favorite, lost 18-16 to South Florida after being favored by 20.0 points and lost 20-10 at LSU on Saturday as a 5.0-point underdog. As a marquee game, Miami had been a 5.5-point favorite over Florida when the line was posted in June.
All three Florida games have gone under the total in 2025. The total was eclipsed in the Miami wins over Notre Dame and South Florida but went under against Bethune-Cookman. Florida and Miami exceeded the 55.5 point total in the 2024 season opener.
The over/under for Notre Dame at Miami was 50.5, the total was 64.5 versus Bethune-Cookman and 56.0 against South Florida. Long Island at South Florida had an over/under of 56.5, it was 57.5 for USF at Florida and 47 in the Gators' loss at LSU on Saturday night.
The ESPN Football Power Index projects Miami with a 75.2 percent chance to beat Florida. Bettors agree with the line increasing, with Miami becoming a bigger favorite than the original opening line over the summer. Florida at Miami is scheduled for a 7:30 PM Eastern Daylight Time kickoff on ABC.