After opening as a 3.5-point favorite over Mississippi on Thursday night, Miami is now favored by 2.5 points per the FanDuel Sportsbook over the Rebels for the Fiesta Bowl, College Football Playoff semifinal.
Laying the points with Miami is -122. Taking the points with Mississippi is +100. Miami is -154 on the money line and Mississippi is +128. The Fiesta Bowl, CFP semifinal over/under is 51.5. Betting the over is -112. Placing money on the under is -108.
Miami and Mississippi both won quarterfinals as underdogs. Miami closed as a 7.5-point underdog in their 24-14 win over Ohio State in the Cotton Bowl. Mississippi was a 6.0-point underdog in their 39-34 win over Georgia in the Sugar Bowl.
Miami was an underdog for the third time this season against Ohio State. Mississippi was an underdog for the third time this season and second against Georgia. Georgia beat Mississippi 43-34 as a 7.0-point favorite during the regular season. Mississippi won 34-26 at Oklahoma as a 5.5-point underdog.
Miami and Mississippi Point spread history
The 2.5 points is the smallest margin Miami has been favored by and that Mississippi has been as an underdog in 2025. Miami and Mississippi are both 9-5 against the point spread in 2025. Miami is 6-5 as a favorite during the 2025 season.
Miami and Mississippi over/under history
Five Miami games and seven for Mississippi have gone over the total in 2025. The 51.5 points are the third-highest over/under for a Miami game against a Power Conference opponent in 2025. The 51.5 point over/under is the second most in a Mississippi game in 2025.
Mississippi beat Kentucky 30-23 with an over/under of 50.0 points. Mississippi is 10th nationally, averaging 37.6 points per game and Miami is 32nd, posting 31.6 PPG. Miami is fourth, allowing 13.1 PPG and Mississippi is 29th, permitting 20.4